Former President Donald Trump surges ahead in all seven crucial swing states on Election Night Eve, according to recent polls.
At a Glance
- Trump leads Vice President Kamala Harris in Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin
- AtlasIntel polls show Trump’s strongest lead in Arizona with 51.6% support
- Harris maintains an edge in Minnesota and Virginia
- Previous polls have consistently shown Trump’s advantage in battleground states
Trump’s Commanding Lead in Swing States
As the nation braced for Election Day, former President Donald Trump emerged as the frontrunner in all seven critical swing states. Findings by AtlasIntel underscored Trump’s strong position heading into the final stretch of the campaign.
The polls reveal Trump’s substantial lead over Vice President Kamala Harris in Arizona, where he commands 51.6% support compared to Harris’s 46.5%. This 5.1-point gap represents Trump’s most significant advantage among the swing states, signaling robust support in the Southwest.
Narrow Margins in Key Battlegrounds
While Trump’s lead was clear, the race remained tight in several pivotal states. In Georgia, a state that has become increasingly competitive in recent elections, Trump held a slim 1.6-point lead with 49.9% support to Harris’s 48.3%. Similarly, in Michigan, another crucial battleground, Trump edged out Harris by 1.5 points, securing 49.8% of voter support compared to her 48.3%.
The former president’s advantage extended to Nevada, where he garnered 50.2% support against Harris’s 47.2%, and North Carolina, where he claimed an even 50% to her 47.9%. Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, both states that played decisive roles in previous elections, showed Trump with narrow leads of 1 point and 0.9 points, respectively.
Harris’s Strongholds and Implications
Despite Trump’s dominance in the swing states, Vice President Harris maintained her grip on traditionally Democratic strongholds. In Minnesota, Harris led with 49.2% support to Trump’s 47.2%, while in Virginia, she commanded a more substantial lead with 51.3% compared to Trump’s 45.9%.
These latest poll results align with previous surveys that have consistently shown Trump’s strength in battleground states. An earlier Reuters/Ipsos survey from August indicated Trump was leading Harris in the seven states where the 2020 race was closest, further cementing his position as a formidable contender. One sticking point for Trump, however, appears to be his loss of support among women: early voting data in swing states showing a significant gender gap, reaching as high as 12% in Georgia and Pennsylvania.
