Lai RESISTS Beijing – Approval SLIPS at Home

Taiwan’s President Lai Ching-te stands firm on defending the island’s sovereignty while remaining open to dialogue with China, even as Beijing continues its military pressure campaign.

At a Glance

  • President Lai Ching-te marked his first year in office with a policy of “preparing for war to avoid war” while expressing willingness to talk with China
  • China has increased military drills around Taiwan since Lai took office, claiming the democratic island as its territory
  • Taiwan is strengthening defense capabilities and international alliances while facing domestic political challenges
  • Lai’s approval ratings have fallen amid US tariff concerns and political infighting between the ruling DPP and opposition KMT
  • Taiwan’s coast guard warned citizens about potential “cognitive warfare” from China aimed at disrupting public morale

Defensive Strategy with Diplomatic Overtures

Taiwan President Lai Ching-te marked his first anniversary in office by reaffirming his administration’s dual-track approach to cross-strait relations. While maintaining Taiwan’s readiness to engage in dialogue with China on equal terms, Lai emphasized the importance of military preparedness as the island faces increasing pressure from Beijing. 

China, which claims Taiwan as its own territory despite the island’s self-governance for over seven decades, has ramped up military exercises in the Taiwan Strait since Lai’s inauguration in May 2023.

The Taiwanese President’s stance reflects a pragmatic approach to national security, balancing diplomatic outreach with defensive capabilities. “Preparing for war is the best way to avoid it,” Lai stated in his address, underscoring Taiwan’s determination to protect its sovereignty and democratic system. 

His administration has continued to bolster Taiwan’s military capabilities through increased defense spending and procurement of advanced weapons systems, primarily from the United States, Taiwan’s most important international supporter.

Economic Resilience as National Security

Beyond military preparedness, Lai has emphasized economic resilience as a cornerstone of Taiwan’s security strategy. His administration has outlined initiatives to diversify export markets, stimulate domestic demand, and establish a sovereign wealth fund to ensure long-term financial stability. These economic measures aim to reduce Taiwan’s vulnerability to potential coercive actions by China, which remains the island’s largest trading partner despite political tensions. 

Taiwan’s semiconductor industry, led by global powerhouse Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC), remains central to both its economic strength and strategic importance on the world stage. The island produces approximately 90% of the world’s advanced microchips, giving it significant leverage in international relations. Lai’s government has worked to secure this critical industry while simultaneously developing other economic sectors to create a more balanced economy. 

Domestic Political Challenges

Lai’s administration faces significant internal political obstacles that complicate his governance agenda. The opposition Kuomintang (KMT) party, which controls the parliament alongside other opposition groups, has accused the president of escalating tensions with China. KMT leaders have labeled Lai a “dictator” and called for greater cooperation across party lines, highlighting Taiwan’s polarized political landscape even as it faces external threats.

Public opinion surveys indicate declining approval ratings for Lai, influenced by concerns over new U.S. tariffs and contentious recall campaigns targeting lawmakers from rival parties. The Democratic Progressive Party (DPP), which Lai leads, has launched efforts to unseat KMT legislators, while facing similar campaigns against its own members. This political infighting risks diverting attention from external security concerns at a critical juncture for Taiwan. 

International Support and Regional Stability

Taiwan continues to cultivate international partnerships to counter China’s diplomatic isolation campaign and military pressure. While only 12 countries maintain formal diplomatic relations with Taiwan, many others, including the United States, maintain robust unofficial ties. These relationships have become increasingly important as China expands its influence across the Indo-Pacific region and globally through initiatives like the Belt and Road program. 

Taiwan’s Coast Guard recently warned citizens about potential “cognitive warfare” operations from China, designed to undermine public morale and social cohesion. This highlights the multifaceted nature of the challenges Taiwan faces, extending beyond conventional military threats to include information warfare and economic coercion. Lai’s administration has emphasized the need for societal resilience and unity as Taiwan navigates these complex security challenges while maintaining its democratic system and way of life.